I always enjoy this time of year. The Christmas music, decorations, family gatherings, holiday plays and stock picks. Stock picks? Yes, 'tis the season for stock predictions! Virtually every financial writer will pen an article selecting his or her top picks for the upcoming year. I enjoy reading them and the logic behind them. As a long-term buy and hold investor, generally most aren't useful for me; nevertheless, I enjoy reading them. Here are some excerpts and picks from several of the experts:
In Jubak's Journal, Jim Jubak believes the markets will recover before the larger economy does. He provides 5 picks for the beginning of the year and 5 for later, with lots of caveats. His 5 best stocks for the first half of 2009:
His 5 best stocks for the second half of 2009:
In their normal fun and frivolous way the Motley Fool picks The Best Stocks for the Year Ahead. Here are six of them:
Fortune magazine in their The best stocks for 2009 article points out the silver lining of the market meltdown: Equities are cheaper than they've been in years. They predict that these ten prospects will flourish during 2009:
Finally, Selena Maranjian at the Motley Fool picks a single best stock in the article Best Stock for 2009: Johnson & Johnson. The article points out several important facts about JNJ:
In addition, the stock had a 10-year 140% total return for investors, compared to a 51% total return for the S&P 500.
We are all looking for the perfect stock. Over the years I have evaluated several of the above stocks as potential dividend investments, most did not pan out. Dividend investors are looking for stocks that will perform well over the long run, not just 2009. Of the stocks mentioned above, I am actively buying JNJ, KO and PEP.
Full Disclosure: Long JNJ, KO, PEP and PFE
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There are several portfolios recommended for 2009 at:
http://www.gainerstoday.com/UserSearch.aspx?PageNumber=1&Keywords=2009&FilterMember=ALL