Linked here is a PDF copy of my detailed analysis of General Electric Company (GE) (alt.1, alt.2). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:
Company Description: General Electric Company (GE) is a diversified industrial corporation.
Fair Value: I consider four calculations of fair value, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description: 1.) Avg. High Yield Price, 2.) 20-Year DCF Price, 3.) Avg. P/E Price and 4.) Graham Number. Of the four valuations listed above, GE is only trading at a discount to 3.) Avg. P/E Price. If I exclude the high and low valuation, and average the remaining two valuations, GE is trading at a 32.8% premium. A Star is deducted due to the high premium.
Dividend Analytical Data: In this section I consider five factors, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description: 1.) Rolling 4-yr Div. > 15%, 2.) Dividend Growth Rate, 3.) Years of Div. Growth, 4.) 1-Yr. > 5-Yr Growth and 5.) Payout 15% of avg. GE only earned one Star in this section for 3.) above - it has grown dividends for at least 10 years.
Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA)? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description: 1.) NPV MMA Diff. and 2.) Years to >MMA. GE did not earn any Stars in this section. It will take 10 years before GE's dividend earnings are equal to that of a MMA earning 5.11%.
Other: GE has long been considered one of the best managed companies in the U.S.
Conclusion: GE earned no Stars in the Fair Value section, a net of zero Stars in the Dividend Analytical Data section and had no Stars in the Dividend Income vs. MMA section for a net total of Zero Stars, which rates it as a 0-Star Avoid stock. This looks like a pretty clear cut decision on what to do with this stock, at least it was for me. I added to my position in GE last week! I will explain why in the third post in this series.
Disclaimer: As always this is only my opinion and you should not rely on it. Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion. See my Disclaimer for more information.
Full Disclosure: At the time of this writing, I own shares of GE.
What are your thoughs on GE?
This post is the second in a three part series. [First Post]
Recent Stock Analyses:
________________________________________________________________
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
~
Popular Posts Last 30 Days
-
As a relatively new blogger, the one thing that has stood out in my mind is the number of Canadian bloggers in the areas that I am most inte...
-
Investors wanting to enjoy steady and consistent income should consider dividend aristocrats. In fact, even in these chaotic times, dividend...
-
The best dividend stocks have one thing in common: resiliency. They can continue increasing their dividends even in the harshest economic en...
-
Dividends and diversification -- those two things can help you achieve a comfortable retirement when combined with the income you will recei...
-
Higher dividend yields often imply that the underlying company paying the dividend has a higher risk profile. However, that's not always...
-
It's hard to beat a sustainable, high-yield dividend paired with a beaten-down valuation. The best dividend stocks offer high yields and...
-
When hunting for discounted investments, one excellent starting point is to look for businesses with dividend yields trading above their fiv...
-
Strange but true: seniors fear death less than running out of money in retirement. And unfortunately, even retirees who have built a nest eg...
-
BDCs can be excellent investment options for those seeking high returns, particularly when acquired at favorable valuations and supported by...
-
How high is too high when it comes to dividend stocks? Of course, every income investor wants as much yield as possible. However, they also ...
I absolutely agree...my position has strengthened in GE as well. Especially with their outlook towards the "green energy" industry, the future looks even more appetizing for GE as a long-term investment.
Beyond the Stars, adding in that this is a very well managed company that focuses on the long term makes it a winner to me!
I own shares of GE and have been adding to my position as well. I am taking a look at C and WM. I am starting to like them as value plays.
I just peeked at my portfolio... ouch! At this rate there are going to be quite a few value plays.
Best Wishes,
D4L