This article originally appeared on The DIV-Net July 28, 2008.
Linked here is a PDF copy of my detailed analysis of Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB) (alt.1, alt.2). Below are some highlights from the above linked analysis:
Company Description: This leading consumer products company's global tissue, personal care and health care brands include Huggies, Pull-Ups, Kotex, Depend, Kleenex, Scott and Kimberly-Clark.
Fair Value: I consider four calculations of fair value, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
KMB is trading at a discount to 1.) and 3.) above. If I exclude the high and low valuation and average the remaining two, KMB is trading at a 5.9% premium. KMB had a Star deducted for trading at a premium in excess of 5%.
Dividend Analytical Data: In this section I consider five factors, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
KMB earned one Star in this section for 3.) above. KMB has paid a cash dividend to shareholders every year since 1935 and has increased its dividend payments for 36 consecutive years.
Dividend Income vs. MMA: Why would you assume the equity risk and invest in a dividend stock if you could earn a better return in a much less risky money market account (MMA)? This section compares the earning ability of this stock with a high yield MMA. Two items are considered in this section, see page 2 of the linked PDF for a detailed description:
KMB earned both available Stars in this section. With a NPV MMA Diff. of $8,952, KMB is well above the $3,000 I look for in a company that is both an Achiever and an Aristocrat. KMB's current yield of 4.19%, exceeds the 20-year expected MMA rate of 4.61%.
Other: KMB is both an S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrat and a member of The Broad Dividend Achievers™ Index. The generally static demand for household and personal care products are usually not affected by changes in the economy or political events. KMB's 2008 earnings should benefit from the 2005 strategic cost reduction program, but for the most part, it will be over shadowed by higher commodity costs.
Conclusion: KMB lost a Star in the Fair Value section, earned a Star in the Dividend Analytical Data section and two Stars in the Dividend Income vs. MMA section for a net total of 2 Stars. This quantitatively rates KMB as a 2 Star-Weak stock.
Using my D4L-PreScreen.xls model, I determined the share price could go up to $73.97 before KMB's NPV MMA Diff. drops to the $3,000 NPV MMA Diff. I like to see. At that price KMP would yield 3.14%. Like the analysis on LLY earlier this month, KMB is a 2 Star-Weak stock that is very close to being a 4 Star-Buy. Given KMB's strong NPV MMA Diff., I would be very comfortable initiating a position at $55.50, or 5% above the $52.87 calculated fair value. This would be a $0.49 or 0.9% decrease from KMB recent price of $55.99.
Disclaimer: Material presented here is for informational purposes only. The above quantitative stock analysis, including the Star rating, is mechanically calculated and is based on historical information. The analysis assumes the stock will perform in the future as it has in the past. This is generally never true. Before buying or selling any stock you should do your own research and reach your own conclusion. See my Disclaimer for more information.
Full Disclosure: At the time of this writing, I do not own shares of KMB (0.0% of my Income Portfolio).
What are your thoughts on KMB?
Recent Stock Analyses:
Stock Analysis: Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)
Posted by D4L | Monday, August 04, 2008 | analysis, DIV-Net | 0 comments »________________________________________________________________
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
~
Popular Posts Last 30 Days
-
If you're worried about inflation rearing its ugly head next year, you should probably worry about more likely catastrophes, such as bei...
-
As a relatively new blogger, the one thing that has stood out in my mind is the number of Canadian bloggers in the areas that I am most inte...
-
In this article, we discuss 5 best consumer staples dividend stocks to buy now. If you want to read our detailed analysis of the consumer st...
-
If you've been holding back from investing in your future just because you don't have a lot of extra cash to spare, I've got gre...
-
Dividend stocks cater to investors who want less volatility and stable cash flow. Some dividend stocks offer a combination of respectable yi...
-
I stumbled upon some data a few years back that has altered my investment philosophy. According to data by Ned Davis Research and Hartford F...
-
Following a strong year for the S&P 500 and huge gains for the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, it's a lot more difficult to find reason...
-
The company's remarkable consistency and low-risk business model make it a "first-choice investment opportunity," according to...
-
One way to achieve financial freedom is to create passive income, or income that does not depend on your active involvement beyond a certain...
-
If you are here to build a portfolio that thrives in all seasons, consider dividend stocks. They can generate steady returns and provide sta...
0 comments
Post a Comment
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.